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IIR Weekly Market Scorecard - Breaking Geopolitical News

Stay current with the latest geopolitical events, and more importantly, instantly connect to how these events may impact you and your business strategies.

IIR's Market Scorecard gives you the breaking news headlines from around the world, along with the directional impact to commodities, with expert indicators, and live links to IIR key research so you instantly have the details you need and make the right decisions.

For more information email us: iirteam@iirenergy.com

Wednesday, September 23rd, 2020:

Event MarCon* IIR Comment IIR Links Outlet
Empty threat from the Saudi energy minister? "Anyone who thinks they will get a word from me on what we will do next is absolutely living in a La La Land... I'm going to make sure whoever gambles on this market will be hurting like hell," Prince Abdulaziz told a news conference when asked about OPEC+ next steps. Saudi Arabia to Lower Crude Prices for Asia Reuters
India's oil demand outlook getting worse Eyes are on the APAC Region -- China in particular -- for evidence of growing demand. However, India's economic outlook remains grim. Global Oil Demand Drops Even Lower for 2020 ET EnergyWorld
China easing on crude storage for the second straight month Because China does not disclose its oil throughputs, estimates need to be deduced from imports, exports and throughputs from outside data. "China's crude output was 16.65 million tonnes in August, while imports were 47.48 million tonnes, giving total available crude of 64.13 million tonnes, or about 15.1 million bpd. Refinery throughput in August was 59.47 million tonnes, equivalent to about 14 million bpd, leaving the difference between the two at 1.1 million bpd." China Oil & Gas Projects Worth $15.5 Billion Planned for Completion in Fourth Quarter Reuters
China's next 5-yr plan considers options for green energy investment "China's current goal is to derive as much as 20% of its primary energy use from non-fossil fuels by 2030. One option under consideration is to bring forward that target, according to people familiar with the discussions who asked not to be identified, possibly to 2025. Another proposal is to cut the share of coal in the energy mix to 52% by 2025, from the 57.5% planned for the end of this year." China to Add 33 GW of Photovoltaic Power in 2020 Bloomberg
Investors are pulling the plug on Argentina's prized shale play "Argentina's state-run driller outlined an aggressive $1.8 billion spending plan for 2020 in the country's Vaca Muerta shale region, based on $60-a-barrel crude. With global prices starting the year above $68, it wasn't unrealistic." Now, with prices rarely getting even closer to $45/barrel, it seems nearly impossible for Argentina's Vaca Muerta to recover. Argentina's YPF Presses Forward on Rincon del Mangrullo Project OilPrice
Week 09/16/2020 - 09/23/2020: Grim. We have a blustering Prince (..Saudi's Prince Abdulaziz..) in a precarious position. Not wishing to divulge his country's & OPEC+'s hand. Even though everybody knows he's holding pocket deuces and cannot bluff. Production cuts are coming. Just a matter of when. Nor is there any sign of recovering demand -- which is roiling markets. Meanwhile the world is preparing for a second COVID wave. Upsetting the markets further. So neither the Prince nor the world's subjects are happy.
*MarCon (Market Condition 1-5, with 5 being the highest impact) indicates directional bias or price effect for the relevant commodity (Oil, Natural Gas, Chemicals, etc.) and is graded by our team of experts here at IIR.

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