Mexico's CFE Targets $23 Billion for 64 Power Projects Out of Total System Investment of $47 Billion by 2013

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Researched by Industrialinfo.com (Industrial Information Resources, Incorporated; Houston, Texas). Mexico is looking at a total electrical power generation capacity of nearly 72,000 MW by 2013, if plans revealed at the end of 2004 by the state-owned power company, CFE (Comision Federal de Electricidad) (Mexico City), come to fruition. At the end of 2003, the CFE's installed capacity stood at just over 44,500 MW. The additional 27,500 MW of capacity is to come from a range of greenfield power projects and major enhancements to capacity at existing plants. With a number of large-scale projects at the feasibility and preliminary planning stages, the composition of the list of new projects slated to come into operation up to 2013 could change in the next two years. For related news item see June 2, 2004 - Mexico's Energy Secretary Stopped and Goes as $58 Billion Power Plans Grind Onward.

Industrialinfo.com is currently tracking 52 power projects in Mexico, representing more than $12.2 billion in TIV. Click on the image at right to view a graph showing TIV by construction kick-off dates for these projects. Contact Industrialinfo.com’s Member Center for Mexican Database questions.

In the CFE's plan covering 2004-2013 an investment of $47 billion is planned, of which generation plant projects will take 49% ($23 billion) of the investment. Sixty-four identified projects will add just over 25,000 MW. Transmission and distribution will each take 18%, and maintenance of the system will absorb 15% of the investment. In the same period, CFE will take out of commission 4,189 MW of its generating capacity and 800 MW of independent/private power capacity will be retired. In this period, 2,056 MW of private capacity will be added to the national system.

In 2004, over 1,760 MW of new capacity came into operation and a further 1,433 MW under construction is expected to come into operation in 2005. The 2005 plants will include the 518 MW Rio Bravo IV and 514 MW La Laguna II combined cycle projects. In 2006, the projected addition of 2,274 MW of new plants now under construction, which will come into operation include the 1,155 MW Altamira v, the 512 MW Tuxpan V, and the 540 MW Valladolid III combined-cycle plants. In 2007, the 1,046 Tamazunchale combined-cycle plant is set to start generating power, and in 2008, the 456 MW combined cycle is due to start operation. The predominance of combined cycle plant in this list goes hand in hand with Mexico's LNG terminal project developments. For related news item see December 16, 2004 - Mexico Pushes LNG Terminal Projects to Feed 25,000 MW of New generation Capacity by 2010.

Other major power plants projects due to come into operation by 2013 are the 456 MW Samalayuca IV (2008), the 700 MW Carbolelctrica del Pacifico coal-fired unit, and the 469 MW Agua Prieta combined-cycle plant, as well as two other combined-cycle projects, totaling 868 MW of generation capacity (2009). In 2010, the 1,046 MW Tamunchale II combined cycle plant will contribute to the year's 2,502 MW total of new capacity, and in 2011, the 900 MW La Parota hydroelectric project and five new combined-cycle plants in the 400-500 MW range will contribute to that year's 4,315 MW total. Similar patterns are repeated for 2012, with some projects still to have the generating technology specified, and in 2013, the planned additional total of 4,701 MW, three more combined-cycle plants and a further seven plants, with unspecified power source type.

CFE expects power consumption to increase 5.6% annually, paralleling a 4.7% annual average growth in GDP over the period, BNamericas reports. This would signal a growth from 177GWh in 2003 to 306 GWh in 2013. Regions where the largest power demand increases will occur are expected to be Baja California, the Yucatan Peninsula, and northeastern Mexico.

In the past decade 'power planning' has been a relative term in Mexico, but at this juncture CFE seems determined to sets marks against which project plans can be implemented.

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